Where and when is FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City played?

FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City is played on September 6, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Toyota Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 26Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Toyota Stadium, Frisco, Texas

FC Dallas

Sporting Kansas City

The Footlab model makes FC Dallas the favourite at 76%, against 15% for a draw and 8% for Sporting Kansas City. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City?

FC Dallas starts as the favourite with a 249-point Elo edge (1,852 vs 1,604).

FC Dallas win76 %

Draw15 %

Sporting Kansas City win8 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Dallas have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Sporting Kansas City have 3, 2 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Dallas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Vancouver Whitecaps(away)	0-5	Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026	Real Salt Lake(away)	4-3	Major League Soccer
Aug 17, 2026	Austin(away)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026	Toluca(away)	1-3	Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026	Guadalajara Chivas(away)	1-0	Leagues Cup

Sporting Kansas City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	St. Louis City(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	Colorado Rapids(away)	0-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 2, 2026	Houston Dynamo(home)	0-2	Major League Soccer
Jul 26, 2026	Los Angeles FC(away)	0-4	Major League Soccer
Jul 23, 2026	Minnesota United FC(home)	2-1	Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Dallas win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Sporting Kansas City win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 15, 2025	Sporting Kansas City 2-4 FC Dallas	Major League Soccer
Mar 30, 2025	FC Dallas 2-1 Sporting Kansas City	Major League Soccer
Oct 20, 2024	FC Dallas 2-1 Sporting Kansas City	Major League Soccer
Jul 11, 2024	Sporting Kansas City 2-1 FC Dallas	US Open Cup
Jul 8, 2024	Sporting Kansas City 3-2 FC Dallas	Major League Soccer
Jun 1, 2023	Sporting Kansas City 2-1 FC Dallas	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas on Jun 15, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

FC Dallas score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Kansas City score 0.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Dallas	1.7	1.6	4	9/15	10/15
Sporting Kansas City	0.9	2.5	0	8/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Dallas sit 5th in Major League Soccer (33 points from 21 matches) and Sporting Kansas City sit 15th (15 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	FC Dallas	21	9	6	6	38	34	33
15	Sporting Kansas City	20	4	3	13	19	49	15

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City?: The Footlab model makes FC Dallas the favourite at 76%, against 15% for a draw and 8% for Sporting Kansas City.
Where and when is FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City played?: FC Dallas vs Sporting Kansas City is played on September 6, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Toyota Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.