Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa
The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Kawasaki Frontale. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Kashiwa Reysol (2,024) and Kawasaki Frontale (1,959).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kashiwa Reysol have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Kawasaki Frontale have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(home) | 4-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(away) | 3-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mito Hollyhock(home) | 2-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | JEF United Chiba(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(away) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Vanraure Hachinohe(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kashiwa Reysol win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Kawasaki Frontale win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale 5-3 Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Kashiwa Reysol 4-1 Kawasaki Frontale | J-League Cup |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Kawasaki Frontale 3-1 Kashiwa Reysol | J-League Cup |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Kawasaki Frontale 4-4 Kashiwa Reysol | J1 League |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kashiwa Reysol score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Kawasaki Frontale score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kashiwa Reysol | 1.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Kawasaki Frontale | 0.9 | 1.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kashiwa Reysol sit 2nd in J1 League (9 points from 3 matches) and Kawasaki Frontale sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale?
- The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Kawasaki Frontale.
- Where and when is Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale played?
- Kashiwa Reysol vs Kawasaki Frontale is played on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026Shimizu S-pulsevsTokyo Verdy
- Nov 7, 2026Nagoya GrampusvsKyoto Sanga
- Nov 7, 2026FC TokyovsKashima
- Nov 7, 2026Gamba OsakavsCerezo Osaka
- Nov 7, 2026Yokohama F. MarinosvsFagiano Okayama
- Nov 7, 2026JEF United ChibavsMito Hollyhock
- Nov 7, 2026Machida ZelviavsSanfrecce Hiroshima
- Nov 7, 2026Avispa FukuokavsV-varen Nagasaki