Match

Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Machida Gion Stadium, Tokyo

Machida ZelviaSanfrecce Hiroshima

The Footlab AI model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Machida Zelvia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,588 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Machida Zelvia (2,152) and Sanfrecce Hiroshima (2,169).

30%27%43%
Machida Zelvia winDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Machida Zelvia

3-4-2-1
  1. 99T. Yengi
  1. 88H. Nakamura
  2. 20T. Nishimura
  3. 8K. Sento
  4. 16H. Mae
  5. 9Koki Ogawa
  6. 7Y. Soma
  1. 50D. Okamura
  2. 3G. Shōji
  3. 2T. Ouwejan
  1. 1K. Tani

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

3-4-2-1
  1. 22S. Haller
  1. 10A. Suzuki
  2. 35Y. Nakajima
  3. 5N. Arai
  4. 23S. Ayukawa
  5. 6H. Kawabe
  6. 18D. Suga
  1. 4H. Araki
  2. 15S. Nakano
  3. 7S. Higashi
  1. 1K. Osako

Computed on October 17, 2026 at 10:27 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Machida Zelvia have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 12, 2 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Machida Zelvia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 15, 2026Tampines Rovers(away)1-0AFC Champions League Two
Oct 10, 2026Kyoto Sanga(away)1-0J1 League
Oct 3, 2026Kyoto Sanga(home)0-0J-League Cup
Sep 23, 2026Tochigi City(home)2-1Emperor Cup
Sep 20, 2026Kashiwa Reysol(home)2-4J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Kyoto Sanga(home)3-0J1 League
Oct 14, 2026Matsumoto Yamaga(away)1-0J-League Cup
Oct 11, 2026Tokyo Verdy(away)2-0J1 League
Oct 7, 2026Iwaki(home)4-0Emperor Cup
Sep 29, 2026Tochigi City(away)2-0J-League Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Machida Zelvia wins, 0 draws, 4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 4, 2025Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 Machida ZelviaJ1 League
Feb 16, 2025Machida Zelvia 1-2 Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League
Sep 28, 2024Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 Machida ZelviaJ1 League
Apr 3, 2024Machida Zelvia 1-2 Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Machida Zelvia on Oct 4, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Machida Zelvia score 2.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 2.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Machida Zelvia2.10.869/159/15
Sanfrecce Hiroshima2.70.5105/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Machida Zelvia sit 4th in J1 League (20 points from 9 matches) and Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 1st (23 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Sanfrecce Hiroshima1072125623
4Machida Zelvia9621221020

A question about Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
The Footlab AI model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Machida Zelvia.
Where and when is Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima played?
Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima is played on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Machida Gion Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Machida Zelvia and Sanfrecce Hiroshima

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