Where and when is Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama played?

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama is played on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Nissan Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Nissan Stadium, Yokohama

Yokohama F. Marinos

Fagiano Okayama

The Footlab model makes Yokohama F. Marinos the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Fagiano Okayama. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama?

A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Yokohama F. Marinos (1,976) and Fagiano Okayama (1,938).

Yokohama F. Marinos win44 %

Draw27 %

Fagiano Okayama win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yokohama F. Marinos have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Fagiano Okayama have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Yokohama F. Marinos
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Fukushima United(home)	1-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Vissel Kobe(home)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse(away)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 7, 2026	Kashima(home)	3-4	J1 League
Jul 19, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

Fagiano Okayama
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Beluga Rosso Iwami(home)	3-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Tokyo Verdy(home)	0-0	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(home)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Cerezo Osaka(away)	1-2	J1 League
Jul 25, 2026	FC Schalke 04(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Yokohama F. Marinos win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Fagiano Okayama win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 21, 2025	Yokohama F. Marinos 0-1 Fagiano Okayama	J1 League
Mar 29, 2025	Fagiano Okayama 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama on Jun 21, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Yokohama F. Marinos score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fagiano Okayama score 1.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Yokohama F. Marinos	1.9	1.1	5	8/15	6/15
Fagiano Okayama	1.4	1.0	7	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Yokohama F. Marinos sit 5th in J1 League (6 points from 3 matches) and Fagiano Okayama sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Yokohama F. Marinos	3	2	0	1	5	4	6
9	Fagiano Okayama	3	1	1	1	2	2	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama?: The Footlab model makes Yokohama F. Marinos the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Fagiano Okayama.
Where and when is Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama played?: Yokohama F. Marinos vs Fagiano Okayama is played on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Nissan Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.