Shimizu S-pulse vs Tokyo Verdy: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka
The Footlab model makes Shimizu S-pulse the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Tokyo Verdy. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Tokyo Verdy?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Shimizu S-pulse (1,899) and Tokyo Verdy (1,869).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shimizu S-pulse have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Tokyo Verdy have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cerezo Osaka(away) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nagoya Grampus(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 0-3 | J1 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fagiano Okayama(away) | 0-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(home) | 1-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale(home) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 2-4 | J1 League |
| May 30, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(away) | 1-1 | J1 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Shimizu S-pulse win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Tokyo Verdy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | Shimizu S-pulse 1-0 Tokyo Verdy | J1 League |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Tokyo Verdy 0-1 Shimizu S-pulse | J1 League |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Tokyo Verdy 3-1 Shimizu S-pulse | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Tokyo Verdy 1-1 Shimizu S-pulse | J2 League |
| Aug 6, 2023 | Tokyo Verdy 0-1 Shimizu S-pulse | J2 League |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Shimizu S-pulse 2-1 Tokyo Verdy | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: Shimizu S-pulse vs Tokyo Verdy on Oct 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Shimizu S-pulse score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tokyo Verdy score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shimizu S-pulse | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Tokyo Verdy | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shimizu S-pulse sit 15th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Tokyo Verdy sit 17th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Shimizu S-pulse | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 17 | Tokyo Verdy | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shimizu S-pulse vs Tokyo Verdy?
- The Footlab model makes Shimizu S-pulse the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Tokyo Verdy.
- Where and when is Shimizu S-pulse vs Tokyo Verdy played?
- Shimizu S-pulse vs Tokyo Verdy is played on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026Kashiwa ReysolvsKawasaki Frontale
- Nov 7, 2026Nagoya GrampusvsKyoto Sanga
- Nov 7, 2026FC TokyovsKashima
- Nov 7, 2026Gamba OsakavsCerezo Osaka
- Nov 7, 2026Yokohama F. MarinosvsFagiano Okayama
- Nov 7, 2026JEF United ChibavsMito Hollyhock
- Nov 7, 2026Machida ZelviavsSanfrecce Hiroshima
- Nov 7, 2026Avispa FukuokavsV-varen Nagasaki