Where and when is Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga played?

Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga is played on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Toyota Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Toyota Stadium, Toyota

Nagoya Grampus

Kyoto Sanga

The Footlab model makes Nagoya Grampus the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Kyoto Sanga. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga?

A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Nagoya Grampus (1,953) and Kyoto Sanga (1,907).

Nagoya Grampus win48 %

Draw23 %

Kyoto Sanga win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nagoya Grampus have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Kyoto Sanga have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nagoya Grampus
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Gainare Tottori(home)	1-3	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Gamba Osaka(home)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Kashima(away)	1-2	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse(home)	0-1	J1 League
Jul 25, 2026	Consadole Sapporo(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

Kyoto Sanga
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Maruyasu Okazaki(home)	1-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(home)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Kawasaki Frontale(away)	2-2	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(away)	1-2	J1 League
Jul 17, 2026	Shonan Bellmare(home)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nagoya Grampus win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Kyoto Sanga win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Nagoya Grampus 3-0 Kyoto Sanga	J1 League
Mar 22, 2026	Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Nagoya Grampus	J1 League
Aug 10, 2025	Nagoya Grampus 1-2 Kyoto Sanga	J1 League
May 11, 2025	Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Nagoya Grampus	J1 League
Aug 7, 2024	Kyoto Sanga 3-2 Nagoya Grampus	J1 League
May 26, 2024	Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Kyoto Sanga	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nagoya Grampus score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kyoto Sanga score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Nagoya Grampus	1.5	1.8	2	11/15	11/15
Kyoto Sanga	0.9	2.1	3	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nagoya Grampus sit 13th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Kyoto Sanga sit 18th (1 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Nagoya Grampus	3	1	0	2	4	4	3
18	Kyoto Sanga	3	0	1	2	4	7	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga?: The Footlab model makes Nagoya Grampus the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Kyoto Sanga.
Where and when is Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga played?: Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga is played on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Toyota Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.