Where and when is Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka played?

Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka is played on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Panasonic Stadium Suita, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Panasonic Stadium Suita, Suita

Gamba Osaka

Cerezo Osaka

The Footlab model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Cerezo Osaka. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Gamba Osaka (2,022) and Cerezo Osaka (2,017).

Gamba Osaka win48 %

Draw24 %

Cerezo Osaka win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gamba Osaka have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Cerezo Osaka have 9, 4 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gamba Osaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Nagoya Grampus(away)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(away)	1-1	J1 League
Aug 11, 2026	Gangwon FC(away)	1-0	AFC Champions League Elite
Aug 7, 2026	Urawa(home)	4-3	J1 League
Jul 15, 2026	Red Bull Salzburg(away)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

Cerezo Osaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse(home)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Avispa Fukuoka(away)	0-3	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(home)	2-1	J1 League
Jul 29, 2026	Borussia Dortmund(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 15, 2026	Tochigi City(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gamba Osaka win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Cerezo Osaka win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 11, 2026	Gamba Osaka 0-1 Cerezo Osaka	J1 League
Feb 7, 2026	Cerezo Osaka 0-0 Gamba Osaka	J1 League
Jul 5, 2025	Cerezo Osaka 0-1 Gamba Osaka	J1 League
Feb 14, 2025	Gamba Osaka 2-5 Cerezo Osaka	J1 League
Oct 2, 2024	Cerezo Osaka 1-0 Gamba Osaka	J1 League
May 6, 2024	Gamba Osaka 1-0 Cerezo Osaka	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gamba Osaka score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cerezo Osaka score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gamba Osaka	1.7	1.3	4	9/15	8/15
Cerezo Osaka	1.9	1.1	5	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gamba Osaka sit 10th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Cerezo Osaka sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Cerezo Osaka	3	2	0	1	3	4	6
10	Gamba Osaka	3	1	1	1	6	7	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka?: The Footlab model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Cerezo Osaka.
Where and when is Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka played?: Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka is played on November 7, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Panasonic Stadium Suita, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.