Feyenoord vs PSV Eindhoven: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Feijenoord, Rotterdam
The Footlab model makes Feyenoord the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for PSV Eindhoven. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Feyenoord vs PSV Eindhoven?
PSV Eindhoven starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (2,219 vs 2,117).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Feyenoord have 10 wins, 5 draws and 0 defeats; PSV Eindhoven have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cambuur(away) | 5-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Atalanta(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 5-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Excelsior(away) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 2, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 0-4 | Super Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Feyenoord win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 PSV Eindhoven win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven 3-0 Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Feyenoord 2-3 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| May 11, 2025 | Feyenoord 2-3 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| Feb 5, 2025 | PSV Eindhoven 2-0 Feyenoord | KNVB Beker |
| Dec 22, 2024 | PSV Eindhoven 3-0 Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
| Aug 4, 2024 | PSV Eindhoven 4-4 Feyenoord | Super Cup |
Last archived meeting: PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Feyenoord score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; PSV Eindhoven score 3.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord | 2.3 | 0.9 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| PSV Eindhoven | 3.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Feyenoord sit 4th in Eredivisie (7 points from 3 matches) and PSV Eindhoven sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Feyenoord vs PSV Eindhoven?
- The Footlab model makes Feyenoord the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for PSV Eindhoven.
- Where and when is Feyenoord vs PSV Eindhoven played?
- Feyenoord vs PSV Eindhoven is played on January 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Feijenoord, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.