Match

Twente vs Fortuna Sittard: prediction and stats

EredivisieMatchday 18Kick-off on January 8, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)De Grolsch Veste, Enschede

TwenteFortuna Sittard

The Footlab AI model makes Twente the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Fortuna Sittard. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,201 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Twente vs Fortuna Sittard?

Twente starts as the favourite with a 213-point Elo edge (2,247 vs 2,034).

77%14%9%
Twente winDrawFortuna Sittard win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Twente vs Fortuna Sittard

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Twente

4-2-3-1
  1. 9W. Weghorst
  1. 6R. Zerrouki
  2. 11D. Rots
  3. 10Y. Taha
  4. 27S. Ørjasæter
  5. 8D. Weidmann
  1. 3R. Pröpper
  2. 28B. van Rooij
  3. 4R. Nijstad
  4. 29A. Adelgaard
  1. 16J. Drommel

Fortuna Sittard

5-4-1
  1. 9A. Descotte
  1. 23P. Brittijn
  2. 22Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand
  3. 52M. Ihattaren
  4. 7K. Peterson
  1. 28Justin Quincy Hubner
  2. 6S. van Ottele
  3. 12Ivo Pinto
  4. 8J. Dahlhaus
  5. 3Rodrigo Guth
  1. 31M. Branderhorst

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 01:49 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Twente have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Fortuna Sittard have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Twente
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Ajax(home)2-2Eredivisie
Nov 5, 2026Pafos(home)3-1UEFA Europa Conference League
Nov 1, 2026Excelsior(away)9-0Eredivisie
Oct 25, 2026AZ Alkmaar(away)2-0Eredivisie
Oct 22, 2026Lincoln Red Imps FC(away)4-1UEFA Europa Conference League
Fortuna Sittard
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Telstar(home)2-2Eredivisie
Oct 31, 2026Feyenoord(away)1-1Eredivisie
Oct 28, 2026Sparta Rotterdam(away)2-2KNVB Beker
Oct 25, 2026Excelsior(home)1-0Eredivisie
Oct 18, 2026NEC Nijmegen(away)2-2Eredivisie

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Twente wins, 2 draws, 0 Fortuna Sittard wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Fortuna Sittard 1-1 TwenteEredivisie
Mar 21, 2026Fortuna Sittard 1-2 TwenteEredivisie
Sep 26, 2025Twente 3-2 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
Apr 5, 2025Twente 1-1 Fortuna SittardEredivisie
Nov 23, 2024Fortuna Sittard 1-2 TwenteEredivisie
Apr 6, 2024Twente 2-0 Fortuna SittardEredivisie

Last archived meeting: Fortuna Sittard vs Twente on Oct 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Twente score 2.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Sittard score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Twente2.60.959/159/15
Fortuna Sittard1.71.6212/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Twente sit 4th in Eredivisie (24 points from 12 matches) and Fortuna Sittard sit 7th (20 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Twente12732301224
7Fortuna Sittard12552202020

A question about Twente vs Fortuna Sittard?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Twente vs Fortuna Sittard?
The Footlab AI model makes Twente the favourite at 77%, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Fortuna Sittard.
Where and when is Twente vs Fortuna Sittard played?
Twente vs Fortuna Sittard is played on January 8, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at De Grolsch Veste, in the Eredivisie.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Twente and Fortuna Sittard