PEC Zwolle vs Utrecht: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 05:45 PM (UTC)MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle
The Footlab AI model makes Utrecht the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for PEC Zwolle. The most likely score is 1-1. If Utrecht wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PEC Zwolle vs Utrecht?
Utrecht starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (1,976 vs 1,821).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for PEC Zwolle vs Utrecht
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
PEC Zwolle
4-2-3-1- 10K. Kostons
- 8T. Sommer
- 11D. Mbayo
- 22I. Cissoko
- 25T. Oosting
- 30R. Thomas
- 24N. Viergever
- 28S. Graves
- 3O. Aertssen
- 2S. Floranus
- 1J. Schendelaar
Utrecht
3-4-3- 20D. de Wit
- 10Y. Cathline
- 11Ángel Alarcón
- 92A. Zagré
- 23N. Vesterlund
- 34D. van den Berg
- 8J. van Overeem
- 2S. Horemans
- 3M. Didden
- 5N. Panagiotou
- 1V. Barkas
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:41 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PEC Zwolle have 3 wins, 1 draw and 11 defeats; Utrecht have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Groningen(away) | 0-3 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Feyenoord(home) | 0-7 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 29, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 0-5 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Excelsior(away) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 8, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 3-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 30, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 1-6 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 PEC Zwolle win, 2 draws, 3 Utrecht wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Utrecht 1-1 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| Aug 31, 2025 | PEC Zwolle 0-2 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
| Feb 1, 2025 | PEC Zwolle 3-3 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Utrecht 1-0 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| Apr 3, 2024 | Utrecht 5-1 PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie |
| Aug 27, 2023 | PEC Zwolle 1-0 Utrecht | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
PEC Zwolle score 1.0 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Utrecht score 1.5 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PEC Zwolle | 1.0 | 2.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Utrecht | 1.5 | 2.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PEC Zwolle sit 16th in Eredivisie (4 points from 8 matches) and Utrecht sit 13th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 8 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 4 |
A question about PEC Zwolle vs Utrecht?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PEC Zwolle vs Utrecht?
- The Footlab AI model makes Utrecht the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for PEC Zwolle.
- Where and when is PEC Zwolle vs Utrecht played?
- PEC Zwolle vs Utrecht is played on January 9, 2027 at 05:45 PM (UTC) at MAC³PARK Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.