Fortuna Sittard vs PSV Eindhoven: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard
The Footlab AI model makes PSV Eindhoven the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Fortuna Sittard. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,384 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Sittard vs PSV Eindhoven?
PSV Eindhoven is a heavy favourite: 2,205 Elo points against 1,893, a 312-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fortuna Sittard vs PSV Eindhoven
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fortuna Sittard
4-3-3- 52M. Ihattaren
- 9A. Descotte
- 25L. Zeefuik
- 23P. Brittijn
- 20É. Michut
- 22Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand
- 12Ivo Pinto
- 3Rodrigo Guth
- 28Justin Quincy Hubner
- 6S. van Ottele
- 31M. Branderhorst
PSV Eindhoven
4-2-3-1- 21S. Mijnans
- 20G. Til
- 24K. Sano
- 7R. van Bommel
- 5I. Perišić
- 31N. Fernandez
- 4A. Obispo
- 8S. Dest
- 17Mauro Júnior
- 2L. Geertruida
- 32M. Kovář
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:13 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Sittard have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; PSV Eindhoven have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Twente(home) | 1-1 | Eredivisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Genk(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ajax(home) | 1-5 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | RB Leipzig(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Heerenveen(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Twente(away) | 2-3 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(home) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Fortuna Sittard wins, 2 draws, 4 PSV Eindhoven wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven 2-2 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard 1-2 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| Oct 31, 2025 | PSV Eindhoven 5-2 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| May 3, 2025 | PSV Eindhoven 4-1 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Fortuna Sittard 1-3 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
| May 12, 2024 | Fortuna Sittard 1-1 PSV Eindhoven | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: PSV Eindhoven vs Fortuna Sittard on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Sittard score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; PSV Eindhoven score 2.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| PSV Eindhoven | 2.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Sittard sit 7th in Eredivisie (14 points from 8 matches) and PSV Eindhoven sit 2nd (19 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 10 | 19 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 14 |
A question about Fortuna Sittard vs PSV Eindhoven?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Sittard vs PSV Eindhoven?
- The Footlab AI model makes PSV Eindhoven the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Fortuna Sittard.
- Where and when is Fortuna Sittard vs PSV Eindhoven played?
- Fortuna Sittard vs PSV Eindhoven is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Fortuna Sittard Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.