Excelsior vs Feyenoord: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam
The Footlab AI model makes Feyenoord the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Excelsior. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,383 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Excelsior vs Feyenoord?
Feyenoord starts as the favourite with a 224-point Elo edge (2,133 vs 1,909).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Excelsior vs Feyenoord
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Excelsior
4-3-3- 19D. Garden
- 30Á. Þorsteinsson
- 7A. Sliti
- 3R. Meissen
- 20L. Hartjes
- 8I. Yegoian
- 14J. Plug
- 4C. Widell
- 2Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira
- 15S. Janssen
- 1S. van Gassel
Feyenoord
4-3-3- 10L. Valente
- 23A. Hadj-Moussa
- 19Nacho Ferri
- 8G. Zechiël
- 34C. Vanhoutte
- 28O. Targhalline
- 35Mika Màrmol
- 26G. Read
- 6J. St. Juste
- 16Javi López
- 1T. Ernst
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Excelsior have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Feyenoord have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 1-5 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ajax(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Utrecht(home) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 8, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 3-0 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Como(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Utrecht(home) | 5-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(away) | 7-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 1-5 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Excelsior wins, 0 draws, 6 Feyenoord wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Feyenoord 2-1 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Excelsior 1-2 Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
| May 19, 2024 | Feyenoord 4-0 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Excelsior 2-4 Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
| May 7, 2023 | Excelsior 0-2 Feyenoord | Eredivisie |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Feyenoord 5-1 Excelsior | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Feyenoord vs Excelsior on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Excelsior score 2.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Feyenoord score 3.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior | 2.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Feyenoord | 3.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Excelsior sit 9th in Eredivisie (11 points from 8 matches) and Feyenoord sit 1st (20 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 7 | 20 |
| 9 | Excelsior | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 11 |
A question about Excelsior vs Feyenoord?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Excelsior vs Feyenoord?
- The Footlab AI model makes Feyenoord the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Excelsior.
- Where and when is Excelsior vs Feyenoord played?
- Excelsior vs Feyenoord is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.