Where and when is Septemvri Simitli vs FK Minyor Pernik played?

Septemvri Simitli vs FK Minyor Pernik is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Struma, in the Third League - Southwest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Septemvri Simitli vs FK Minyor Pernik: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 7Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Struma, Simitli

Septemvri Simitli

FK Minyor Pernik

The Footlab model makes Septemvri Simitli the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for FK Minyor Pernik. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Septemvri Simitli vs FK Minyor Pernik?

A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Septemvri Simitli (1,489) and FK Minyor Pernik (1,516).

Septemvri Simitli win48 %

Draw26 %

FK Minyor Pernik win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Septemvri Simitli have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; FK Minyor Pernik have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Septemvri Simitli
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Chavdar Etropole(away)	2-4	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	CSKA Sofia III(home)	0-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Balkan Botevgrad(away)	2-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Kostinbrod(home)	2-0	Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026	Kyustendil(home)	2-0	Third League - Southwest

FK Minyor Pernik
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Bansko(home)	1-2	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Belasitsa(home)	1-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Pirin Razlog(away)	3-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Natsional Sofia(home)	1-0	Third League - Southwest
May 23, 2026	Dunav Ruse(home)	1-2	Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Septemvri Simitli win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 FK Minyor Pernik win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 6, 2024	Septemvri Simitli 0-1 FK Minyor Pernik	Third League - Southwest
Aug 19, 2023	FK Minyor Pernik 4-1 Septemvri Simitli	Third League - Southwest
Dec 11, 2021	Septemvri Simitli 2-2 FK Minyor Pernik	Second League
Aug 3, 2021	FK Minyor Pernik 4-2 Septemvri Simitli	Second League
May 16, 2021	FK Minyor Pernik 1-0 Septemvri Simitli	Second League
Dec 4, 2020	Septemvri Simitli 3-0 FK Minyor Pernik	Second League

Last archived meeting: Septemvri Simitli vs FK Minyor Pernik on Mar 6, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Septemvri Simitli score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; FK Minyor Pernik score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Septemvri Simitli	1.4	0.9	7	5/15	6/15
FK Minyor Pernik	1.3	1.5	4	7/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Septemvri Simitli sit 6th in Third League - Southwest (7 points from 4 matches) and FK Minyor Pernik sit 4th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	FK Minyor Pernik	4	2	1	1	6	3	7
6	Septemvri Simitli	4	2	1	1	6	5	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Septemvri Simitli vs FK Minyor Pernik?: The Footlab model makes Septemvri Simitli the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for FK Minyor Pernik.
Where and when is Septemvri Simitli vs FK Minyor Pernik played?: Septemvri Simitli vs FK Minyor Pernik is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Struma, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.