Formartine United vs Dundee United II: prediction and stats
Challenge CupGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)North Lodge Park, Pitmedden
The Footlab model makes Formartine United the favourite at 68%, against 17% for a draw and 15% for Dundee United II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Formartine United vs Dundee United II?
Formartine United starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (1,639 vs 1,481).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Formartine United have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Dundee United II have 2, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Keith(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rothes(away) | 4-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Invergordon(away) | 2-1 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dundee II(home) | 4-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Huntly(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Cove Rangers(away) | 0-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Clachnacuddin(away) | 0-5 | Challenge Cup |
| Nov 11, 2025 | Inverness CT(away) | 0-6 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Cove Rangers(away) | 1-5 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Spartans(away) | 0-1 | Challenge Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Formartine United score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Dundee United II score 0.6 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Formartine United | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Dundee United II | 0.6 | 2.6 | 2 | 3/13 | 9/13 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Formartine United vs Dundee United II?
- The Footlab model makes Formartine United the favourite at 68%, against 17% for a draw and 15% for Dundee United II.
- Where and when is Formartine United vs Dundee United II played?
- Formartine United vs Dundee United II is played on September 8, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at North Lodge Park, in the Challenge Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.