Match

Edinburgh City vs Dundee United II: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Meadowbank Stadium, Edinburgh

Edinburgh CityDundee United II

The Footlab model makes Edinburgh City the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Dundee United II. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Edinburgh City vs Dundee United II?

A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Edinburgh City (1,515) and Dundee United II (1,481).

Edinburgh City win57 %
Draw21 %
Dundee United II win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Edinburgh City have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Dundee United II have 2, 1 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Edinburgh City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Hamilton Academical(away)1-0Challenge Cup
Aug 22, 2026Annan Athletic(home)1-0League Two
Aug 15, 2026Dumbarton(away)3-0League Two
Aug 11, 2026Cowdenbeath(home)3-1Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026Spartans(away)2-2League Two
Dundee United II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 25, 2026Cove Rangers(away)0-2Challenge Cup
Aug 11, 2026Clachnacuddin(away)0-5Challenge Cup
Nov 11, 2025Inverness CT(away)0-6Challenge Cup
Oct 11, 2025Cove Rangers(away)1-5Challenge Cup
Sep 23, 2025Spartans(away)0-1Challenge Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Edinburgh City score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dundee United II score 0.6 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Edinburgh City1.71.574/158/15
Dundee United II0.62.623/139/13

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Edinburgh City vs Dundee United II?
The Footlab model makes Edinburgh City the favourite at 57%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Dundee United II.
Where and when is Edinburgh City vs Dundee United II played?
Edinburgh City vs Dundee United II is played on September 22, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Meadowbank Stadium, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Edinburgh City and Dundee United II

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