Fortuna Sittard vs Twente: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard
The Footlab AI model makes Twente the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Fortuna Sittard. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Sittard vs Twente?
Twente starts as the favourite with a 205-point Elo edge (2,112 vs 1,906).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fortuna Sittard vs Twente
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fortuna Sittard
5-3-2- 9A. Descotte
- 10O. Romeny
- 52M. Ihattaren
- 20É. Michut
- 22Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand
- 23P. Brittijn
- 12Ivo Pinto
- 8J. Dahlhaus
- 3Rodrigo Guth
- 28Justin Quincy Hubner
- 31M. Branderhorst
Known absences
Iván MárquezOut · Injured
Ramazan BayramOut · Knee injury
Y. OukiliOut · Groin injury
Twente
4-2-3-1- 9W. Weghorst
- 6R. Zerrouki
- 27S. Ørjasæter
- 8D. Weidmann
- 10Y. Taha
- 7M. Pjaca
- 28B. van Rooij
- 4R. Nijstad
- 38M. Bruns
- 3R. Pröpper
- 1L. Unnerstall
Known absences
S. LemkinOut · Injured
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Sittard have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Twente have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Genk(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ajax(home) | 1-5 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Groningen(away) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 3-2 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Telstar(home) | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Groningen(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Cambuur(away) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Fortuna Sittard wins, 1 draw, 5 Twente wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard 1-2 Twente | Eredivisie |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Twente 3-2 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Twente 1-1 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Fortuna Sittard 1-2 Twente | Eredivisie |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Twente 2-0 Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Fortuna Sittard 0-3 Twente | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Fortuna Sittard vs Twente on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Sittard score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Twente score 2.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Sittard | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Twente | 2.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Sittard sit 6th in Eredivisie (13 points from 7 matches) and Twente sit 4th (16 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Twente | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
A question about Fortuna Sittard vs Twente?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Sittard vs Twente?
- The Footlab AI model makes Twente the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Fortuna Sittard.
- Where and when is Fortuna Sittard vs Twente played?
- Fortuna Sittard vs Twente is played on October 10, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Fortuna Sittard Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.