Telstar vs ADO Den Haag: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)711 Stadion, Velsen-Zuid
The Footlab model makes Telstar the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for ADO Den Haag. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Telstar vs ADO Den Haag?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Telstar (1,925) and ADO Den Haag (1,868).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Telstar have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; ADO Den Haag have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(home) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| Jul 31, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 6-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(away) | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Telstar win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 ADO Den Haag win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2025 | ADO Den Haag 0-1 Telstar | Eredivisie |
| May 13, 2025 | Telstar 2-0 ADO Den Haag | Eredivisie |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Telstar 1-1 ADO Den Haag | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2024 | ADO Den Haag 1-1 Telstar | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Telstar 3-1 ADO Den Haag | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2023 | ADO Den Haag 1-1 Telstar | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: ADO Den Haag vs Telstar on May 17, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Telstar score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; ADO Den Haag score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telstar | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| ADO Den Haag | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Telstar sit 13th in Eredivisie (3 points from 2 matches) and ADO Den Haag sit 18th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Telstar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 18 | ADO Den Haag | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Telstar vs ADO Den Haag?
- The Footlab model makes Telstar the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for ADO Den Haag.
- Where and when is Telstar vs ADO Den Haag played?
- Telstar vs ADO Den Haag is played on October 11, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at 711 Stadion, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.