GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam: prediction and stats
EredivisieRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC)De Adelaarshorst, Deventer
The Footlab model makes GO Ahead Eagles the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Sparta Rotterdam. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate GO Ahead Eagles (1,955) and Sparta Rotterdam (1,925).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GO Ahead Eagles have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Sparta Rotterdam have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 2-2 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Willem II(home) | 4-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Luton(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | OFI(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Utrecht(home) | 3-3 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Telstar(away) | 3-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Feyenoord(home) | 0-1 | Eredivisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | MSV Duisburg(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 GO Ahead Eagles win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Sparta Rotterdam win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam 2-2 GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie |
| Aug 23, 2025 | GO Ahead Eagles 0-3 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Feb 14, 2025 | GO Ahead Eagles 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie |
| Dec 18, 2024 | Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 GO Ahead Eagles | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Sparta Rotterdam 0-2 GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Rotterdam vs GO Ahead Eagles on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
GO Ahead Eagles score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Rotterdam score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GO Ahead Eagles | 2.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Sparta Rotterdam | 1.4 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
GO Ahead Eagles sit 3rd in Eredivisie (7 points from 3 matches) and Sparta Rotterdam sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | GO Ahead Eagles | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam?
- The Footlab model makes GO Ahead Eagles the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Sparta Rotterdam.
- Where and when is GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam played?
- GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam is played on October 10, 2026 at 04:45 PM (UTC) at De Adelaarshorst, in the Eredivisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.