Fraserburgh vs Dundee II: prediction and stats
Challenge CupGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Bellslea Park, Fraserburgh
The Footlab model makes Fraserburgh the favourite at 68%, against 17% for a draw and 15% for Dundee II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fraserburgh vs Dundee II?
Fraserburgh starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,664 vs 1,524).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fraserburgh have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Dundee II have 2, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lossiemouth(away) | 4-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Inverurie Loco Works(away) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nairn County(home) | 2-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Montrose(away) | 0-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Forres Mechanics(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Formartine United(away) | 1-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Peterhead(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 11, 2025 | Elgin City(away) | 1-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Stirling Albion(away) | 0-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Inverness CT(away) | 0-6 | Challenge Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Fraserburgh score 2.5 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Dundee II score 1.0 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fraserburgh | 2.5 | 0.6 | 10 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Dundee II | 1.0 | 2.3 | 4 | 6/13 | 8/13 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fraserburgh vs Dundee II?
- The Footlab model makes Fraserburgh the favourite at 68%, against 17% for a draw and 15% for Dundee II.
- Where and when is Fraserburgh vs Dundee II played?
- Fraserburgh vs Dundee II is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Bellslea Park, in the Challenge Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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