Match

Fraserburgh vs Stirling Albion: prediction and stats

Challenge CupGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bellslea Park, Fraserburgh

FraserburghStirling Albion

The Footlab model makes Fraserburgh the favourite at 72%, against 16% for a draw and 12% for Stirling Albion. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Fraserburgh vs Stirling Albion?

Fraserburgh starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (1,667 vs 1,490).

Fraserburgh win72 %
Draw16 %
Stirling Albion win12 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fraserburgh have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Stirling Albion have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Fraserburgh
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Lossiemouth(away)4-0Football League - Highland League
Aug 19, 2026Inverurie Loco Works(away)1-2Football League - Highland League
Aug 15, 2026Nairn County(home)2-0Football League - Highland League
Aug 11, 2026Montrose(away)0-2Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026Forres Mechanics(away)2-0Football League - Highland League
Stirling Albion
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Stranraer(home)2-2League Two
Aug 15, 2026Forfar Athletic(away)0-3League Two
Aug 11, 2026Cove Rangers(home)4-2Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026Kelty Hearts(away)2-3League Two
Aug 1, 2026Dumbarton(home)2-0League Two

How many goals should we expect?

Fraserburgh score 2.5 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Stirling Albion score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Fraserburgh2.50.6104/157/15
Stirling Albion1.31.819/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Fraserburgh vs Stirling Albion?
The Footlab model makes Fraserburgh the favourite at 72%, against 16% for a draw and 12% for Stirling Albion.
Where and when is Fraserburgh vs Stirling Albion played?
Fraserburgh vs Stirling Albion is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bellslea Park, in the Challenge Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Fraserburgh and Stirling Albion

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