Frome Town vs Taunton Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 30, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)AlderSmith Stadium, Frome, Somerset
The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Taunton Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Frome Town vs Taunton Town?
Frome Town starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,882 vs 1,776).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Frome Town have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Taunton Town have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Havant & Wville(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Evesham United(away) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wimborne Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Weymouth(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Uxbridge(away) | 4-5 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Berkhamsted(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Malvern Town(home) | 5-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Frome Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Taunton Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2025 | Taunton Town 0-0 Frome Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Frome Town 0-2 Taunton Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 22, 2022 | Frome Town 0-6 Taunton Town | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Frome Town 0-1 Taunton Town | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Taunton Town vs Frome Town on Feb 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Frome Town score 1.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Taunton Town score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frome Town | 1.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Taunton Town | 1.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Frome Town sit 7th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Taunton Town sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Frome Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Taunton Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Frome Town vs Taunton Town?
- The Footlab model makes Frome Town the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Taunton Town.
- Where and when is Frome Town vs Taunton Town played?
- Frome Town vs Taunton Town is played on September 30, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at AlderSmith Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 29, 2026Wimborne TownvsYate Town
- Sep 29, 2026UxbridgevsBasingstoke Town
- Sep 29, 2026Chertsey TownvsPoole Town
- Sep 29, 2026Evesham UnitedvsChippenham Town
- Sep 29, 2026SholingvsBerkhamsted
- Sep 29, 2026Gloucester CityvsPlymouth Parkway
- Sep 29, 2026Bath CityvsMalvern Town
- Sep 29, 2026Hanworth VillavsChichester City