Gambia vs Somalia: result 2-1 and analysis
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on September 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Lat Dior, Thiès
Full time
What was the result of Gambia vs Somalia?
Gambia won 2-1 on September 25, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 18′E. ColleyGambia (pen.)
- 72′B. NjieSomalia
- 83′M. BadamosiGambia
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Gambia win at 86%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 2-0. Actual score: 2-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Gambia vs Somalia
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Gambia
3-4-2-1- 21Abdoulie Ceesay
- 19E. Colley
- 7A. Fadera
- 3S. Sanyang
- 2M. Bajo
- 25A. Barry
- 15J. Ceesay
- 6Y. Bojang
- 5O. Colley
- 4A. Saine
- 18B. Gaye
Somalia
3-4-3- 7Sakariya Hassan
- 9B. Njie
- 11A. Sabriye
- 2M. Mohamed
- 14A. Sharif
- 8Abdulsamed Ahmed Abdullahi
- 17A. Abdullahi
- 19Faysal Omar
- 15A. Omar
- 3Abel Gigli Mohamed
- 23I. Hussein
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gambia have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Somalia have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | Iran(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Senegal(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Kuwait(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Seychelles(away) | 7-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Gabon(home) | 3-4 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 | Mauritius(away) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Mauritius(home) | 0-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 26, 2025 | Oman(away) | 0-0 | Arab Cup |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Bahrain(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Bahrain(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Gambia score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Somalia score 0.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gambia | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Somalia | 0.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gambia sit 2nd in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (6 points from 2 matches) and Somalia sit 3rd (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Gambia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Somalia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
A question about Gambia vs Somalia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy