Match

GKS Katowice vs Raków Częstochowa: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Arena Katowice, Katowice

GKS KatowiceRaków Częstochowa

The Footlab model makes GKS Katowice the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Raków Częstochowa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win GKS Katowice vs Raków Częstochowa?

A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate GKS Katowice (1,994) and Raków Częstochowa (2,031).

GKS Katowice win47 %
Draw24 %
Raków Częstochowa win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GKS Katowice have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Raków Częstochowa have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

GKS Katowice
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Wisla Plock(home)5-0Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026Motor Lublin(away)0-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 12, 2026Hapoel Tel Aviv(home)2-1UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 6, 2026Hapoel Tel Aviv(away)0-2UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 2, 2026Radomiak Radom(home)3-1Ekstraklasa
Raków Częstochowa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026HNK Hajduk Split(away)2-2UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 16, 2026Cracovia Krakow(away)1-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 13, 2026Hammarby FF(away)1-0UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 6, 2026Hammarby FF(home)0-0UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 2, 2026Slask Wroclaw(away)1-2Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 GKS Katowice win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Raków Częstochowa win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 16, 2026GKS Katowice 1-1 Raków CzęstochowaFriendlies Clubs
Apr 9, 2026Raków Częstochowa 3-3 GKS KatowiceCup
Dec 7, 2025Raków Częstochowa 1-0 GKS KatowiceEkstraklasa
Jul 19, 2025GKS Katowice 0-1 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa
Feb 8, 2025Raków Częstochowa 1-2 GKS KatowiceEkstraklasa
Aug 3, 2024GKS Katowice 0-1 Raków CzęstochowaEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: GKS Katowice vs Raków Częstochowa on Jul 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

GKS Katowice score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Raków Częstochowa score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
GKS Katowice1.91.148/158/15
Raków Częstochowa1.71.359/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

GKS Katowice sit 8th in Ekstraklasa (6 points from 4 matches) and Raków Częstochowa sit 18th (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8GKS Katowice4202946
18Raków Częstochowa3003360

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for GKS Katowice vs Raków Częstochowa?
The Footlab model makes GKS Katowice the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Raków Częstochowa.
Where and when is GKS Katowice vs Raków Częstochowa played?
GKS Katowice vs Raków Częstochowa is played on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Katowice, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: GKS Katowice and Raków Częstochowa

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