GKS Katowice vs Raków Częstochowa: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Arena Katowice, Katowice
The Footlab model makes GKS Katowice the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Raków Częstochowa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win GKS Katowice vs Raków Częstochowa?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate GKS Katowice (1,994) and Raków Częstochowa (2,031).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GKS Katowice have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Raków Częstochowa have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wisla Plock(home) | 5-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Motor Lublin(away) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(home) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cracovia Krakow(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Hammarby FF(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Hammarby FF(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 GKS Katowice win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Raków Częstochowa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | GKS Katowice 1-1 Raków Częstochowa | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa 3-3 GKS Katowice | Cup |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Raków Częstochowa 1-0 GKS Katowice | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 19, 2025 | GKS Katowice 0-1 Raków Częstochowa | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Raków Częstochowa 1-2 GKS Katowice | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 3, 2024 | GKS Katowice 0-1 Raków Częstochowa | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: GKS Katowice vs Raków Częstochowa on Jul 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
GKS Katowice score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Raków Częstochowa score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GKS Katowice | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Raków Częstochowa | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
GKS Katowice sit 8th in Ekstraklasa (6 points from 4 matches) and Raków Częstochowa sit 18th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | GKS Katowice | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 6 |
| 18 | Raków Częstochowa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for GKS Katowice vs Raków Częstochowa?
- The Footlab model makes GKS Katowice the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Raków Częstochowa.
- Where and when is GKS Katowice vs Raków Częstochowa played?
- GKS Katowice vs Raków Częstochowa is played on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Katowice, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 3, 2027Wisla KrakowvsLegia Warszawa
- Apr 3, 2027Gornik ZabrzevsJagiellonia
- Apr 3, 2027Wisla PlockvsWieczysta Kraków
- Apr 3, 2027Zaglebie LubinvsCracovia Krakow
- Apr 3, 2027Korona KielcevsPogon Szczecin
- Apr 3, 2027Lech PoznanvsSlask Wroclaw
- Apr 3, 2027Widzew ŁódźvsPiast Gliwice
- Apr 3, 2027Motor LublinvsRadomiak Radom