Wisla Krakow vs Legia Warszawa: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, Kraków
The Footlab model makes Wisla Krakow the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Legia Warszawa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wisla Krakow vs Legia Warszawa?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Wisla Krakow (1,978) and Legia Warszawa (2,056).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wisla Krakow have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Legia Warszawa have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(away) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wisla Plock(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(away) | 3-4 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | GKS Katowice(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(away) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(home) | 5-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Korona Kielce(away) | 1-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(home) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(away) | 1-0 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Wisla Krakow win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Legia Warszawa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2022 | Legia Warszawa 2-1 Wisla Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 29, 2021 | Wisla Krakow 1-0 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
| May 1, 2021 | Legia Warszawa 0-0 Wisla Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Dec 12, 2020 | Wisla Krakow 1-2 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
| Jun 7, 2020 | Wisla Krakow 1-3 Legia Warszawa | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 27, 2019 | Legia Warszawa 7-0 Wisla Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Legia Warszawa vs Wisla Krakow on Feb 25, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Wisla Krakow score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Legia Warszawa score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisla Krakow | 1.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Legia Warszawa | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wisla Krakow sit 7th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 5 matches) and Legia Warszawa sit 1st (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warszawa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 | Wisla Krakow | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wisla Krakow vs Legia Warszawa?
- The Footlab model makes Wisla Krakow the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Legia Warszawa.
- Where and when is Wisla Krakow vs Legia Warszawa played?
- Wisla Krakow vs Legia Warszawa is played on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 3, 2027Gornik ZabrzevsJagiellonia
- Apr 3, 2027Wisla PlockvsWieczysta Kraków
- Apr 3, 2027Zaglebie LubinvsCracovia Krakow
- Apr 3, 2027Korona KielcevsPogon Szczecin
- Apr 3, 2027Lech PoznanvsSlask Wroclaw
- Apr 3, 2027GKS KatowicevsRaków Częstochowa
- Apr 3, 2027Widzew ŁódźvsPiast Gliwice
- Apr 3, 2027Motor LublinvsRadomiak Radom