Zaglebie Lubin vs Cracovia Krakow: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)KGHM Zagłębie Arena, Lubin
The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Lubin the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Cracovia Krakow. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zaglebie Lubin vs Cracovia Krakow?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Zaglebie Lubin (1,952) and Cracovia Krakow (1,949).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zaglebie Lubin have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Cracovia Krakow have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(away) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(home) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wieczysta Kraków(home) | 3-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(home) | 0-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Zaglebie Lubin win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Cracovia Krakow win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin 0-0 Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Cracovia Krakow 0-0 Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa |
| May 24, 2025 | Zaglebie Lubin 1-2 Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 29, 2024 | Cracovia Krakow 1-1 Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 Cracovia Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 2, 2023 | Cracovia Krakow 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Zaglebie Lubin vs Cracovia Krakow on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zaglebie Lubin score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Cracovia Krakow score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaglebie Lubin | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Cracovia Krakow | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zaglebie Lubin sit 6th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 4 matches) and Cracovia Krakow sit 3rd (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cracovia Krakow | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 8 |
| 6 | Zaglebie Lubin | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zaglebie Lubin vs Cracovia Krakow?
- The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Lubin the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Cracovia Krakow.
- Where and when is Zaglebie Lubin vs Cracovia Krakow played?
- Zaglebie Lubin vs Cracovia Krakow is played on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at KGHM Zagłębie Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 3, 2027Wisla KrakowvsLegia Warszawa
- Apr 3, 2027Gornik ZabrzevsJagiellonia
- Apr 3, 2027Wisla PlockvsWieczysta Kraków
- Apr 3, 2027Korona KielcevsPogon Szczecin
- Apr 3, 2027Lech PoznanvsSlask Wroclaw
- Apr 3, 2027GKS KatowicevsRaków Częstochowa
- Apr 3, 2027Widzew ŁódźvsPiast Gliwice
- Apr 3, 2027Motor LublinvsRadomiak Radom