Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków, Częstochowa
The Footlab AI model makes Raków Częstochowa the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for GKS Katowice. The most likely score is 1-1. If Raków Częstochowa wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Raków Częstochowa (1,939) and GKS Katowice (1,962).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Raków Częstochowa
3-4-3- 9P. Makuch
- 11M. Emreli
- 80L. Diaby-Fadiga
- 5M. Bulat
- 21T. Pieńko
- 20Jean Carlos
- 6O. Repka
- 4S. Svarnas
- 25B. Racovițan
- 7F. Tudor
- 1K. Trelowski
GKS Katowice
3-4-3- 27B. Nowak
- 80I. Shkurin
- 7M. Wdowiak
- 23M. Wasielewski
- 77M. Kowalczyk
- 68B. Wolski
- 18K. Łukasiak
- 55Pau Resta
- 6L. Klemenz
- 30A. Czerwiński
- 34G. Kobylak
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Raków Częstochowa have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; GKS Katowice have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Polonia Bytom(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Korona Kielce(away) | 2-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(home) | 2-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Motor Lublin(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Baník Ostrava(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cracovia Krakow(home) | 3-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(away) | 0-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(away) | 3-2 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Raków Częstochowa wins, 2 draws, 1 GKS Katowice win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | GKS Katowice 1-1 Raków Częstochowa | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Raków Częstochowa 3-3 GKS Katowice | Cup |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Raków Częstochowa 1-0 GKS Katowice | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 19, 2025 | GKS Katowice 0-1 Raków Częstochowa | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Raków Częstochowa 1-2 GKS Katowice | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 3, 2024 | GKS Katowice 0-1 Raków Częstochowa | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: GKS Katowice vs Raków Częstochowa on Jul 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Raków Częstochowa score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; GKS Katowice score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raków Częstochowa | 1.7 | 1.8 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| GKS Katowice | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Raków Częstochowa sit 18th in Ekstraklasa (3 points from 9 matches) and GKS Katowice sit 9th (12 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | GKS Katowice | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 12 |
| 18 | Raków Częstochowa | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 3 |
A question about Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice?
- The Footlab AI model makes Raków Częstochowa the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for GKS Katowice.
- Where and when is Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice played?
- Raków Częstochowa vs GKS Katowice is played on October 9, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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