Grantham Town vs Mickleover Sports: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)South Kesteven Stadium, Grantham, Lincolnshire
The Footlab model makes Mickleover Sports the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Grantham Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grantham Town vs Mickleover Sports?
Mickleover Sports starts as the favourite with a 192-point Elo edge (1,627 vs 1,435).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grantham Town have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Mickleover Sports have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2025 | Newark Town(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Jul 8, 2025 | Lincoln United(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Bedworth United(home) | 1-6 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Long Eaton United(away) | 0-4 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Darlaston Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | Worksop Town(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bedworth United(away) | 2-2 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Belper Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Long Eaton United(away) | 2-4 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Rugby Town(home) | 4-1 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Grantham Town win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Mickleover Sports win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2021 | Mickleover Sports 2-2 Grantham Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Mickleover Sports 0-1 Grantham Town | FA Trophy |
| Sep 7, 2021 | Grantham Town 1-1 Mickleover Sports | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 24, 2020 | Mickleover Sports 3-0 Grantham Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Jan 18, 2020 | Mickleover Sports 4-1 Grantham Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 10, 2019 | Grantham Town 1-1 Mickleover Sports | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Mickleover Sports vs Grantham Town on Dec 4, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Grantham Town score 0.9 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mickleover Sports score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grantham Town | 0.9 | 2.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Mickleover Sports | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grantham Town vs Mickleover Sports?
- The Footlab model makes Mickleover Sports the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Grantham Town.
- Where and when is Grantham Town vs Mickleover Sports played?
- Grantham Town vs Mickleover Sports is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at South Kesteven Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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