Match

Grimsby Borough vs Dunston UTS: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bradley Community Stadium, Grimsby, Lincolnshire

Grimsby BoroughDunston UTS

The Footlab model makes Dunston UTS the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Grimsby Borough. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Grimsby Borough vs Dunston UTS?

Dunston UTS starts as the favourite with a 168-point Elo edge (1,747 vs 1,580).

Grimsby Borough win24 %
Draw25 %
Dunston UTS win51 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grimsby Borough have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Dunston UTS have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Grimsby Borough
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 4, 2026Grimsby(away)2-3Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Matlock Town(away)0-5Non League Div One - Northern East
Apr 18, 2026Heaton Stannington(home)4-1Non League Div One - Northern East
Apr 11, 2026Bradford (Park Avenue)(home)1-3Non League Div One - Northern East
Apr 6, 2026North Ferriby(away)1-1Non League Div One - Northern East
Dunston UTS
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 21, 2026Redcar Athletic(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Pontefract Collieries(home)1-2Non League Div One - Northern East
Apr 18, 2026Hallam(away)1-0Non League Div One - Northern East
Apr 6, 2026Newton Aycliffe(away)3-0Non League Div One - Northern East
Apr 4, 2026Bradford (Park Avenue)(home)1-0Non League Div One - Northern East

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Grimsby Borough win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Dunston UTS win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 24, 2026Grimsby Borough 0-1 Dunston UTSNon League Div One - Northern East
Oct 28, 2025Dunston UTS 2-1 Grimsby BoroughNon League Div One - Northern East
Mar 15, 2025Grimsby Borough 1-1 Dunston UTSNon League Div One - Northern East
Nov 9, 2024Dunston UTS 0-0 Grimsby BoroughNon League Div One - Northern East
Apr 6, 2024Dunston UTS 3-0 Grimsby BoroughNon League Div One - Northern East
Nov 11, 2023Grimsby Borough 1-2 Dunston UTSNon League Div One - Northern East

Last archived meeting: Grimsby Borough vs Dunston UTS on Jan 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Grimsby Borough score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Dunston UTS score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Grimsby Borough1.11.847/159/15
Dunston UTS1.01.156/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Grimsby Borough vs Dunston UTS?
The Footlab model makes Dunston UTS the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Grimsby Borough.
Where and when is Grimsby Borough vs Dunston UTS played?
Grimsby Borough vs Dunston UTS is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bradley Community Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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