Grimsby Borough vs Dunston UTS: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bradley Community Stadium, Grimsby, Lincolnshire
The Footlab model makes Dunston UTS the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Grimsby Borough. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grimsby Borough vs Dunston UTS?
Dunston UTS starts as the favourite with a 168-point Elo edge (1,747 vs 1,580).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grimsby Borough have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Dunston UTS have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Matlock Town(away) | 0-5 | Non League Div One - Northern East |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Heaton Stannington(home) | 4-1 | Non League Div One - Northern East |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Bradford (Park Avenue)(home) | 1-3 | Non League Div One - Northern East |
| Apr 6, 2026 | North Ferriby(away) | 1-1 | Non League Div One - Northern East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Pontefract Collieries(home) | 1-2 | Non League Div One - Northern East |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Hallam(away) | 1-0 | Non League Div One - Northern East |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Newton Aycliffe(away) | 3-0 | Non League Div One - Northern East |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Bradford (Park Avenue)(home) | 1-0 | Non League Div One - Northern East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Grimsby Borough win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Dunston UTS win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | Grimsby Borough 0-1 Dunston UTS | Non League Div One - Northern East |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Dunston UTS 2-1 Grimsby Borough | Non League Div One - Northern East |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Grimsby Borough 1-1 Dunston UTS | Non League Div One - Northern East |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Dunston UTS 0-0 Grimsby Borough | Non League Div One - Northern East |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Dunston UTS 3-0 Grimsby Borough | Non League Div One - Northern East |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Grimsby Borough 1-2 Dunston UTS | Non League Div One - Northern East |
Last archived meeting: Grimsby Borough vs Dunston UTS on Jan 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Grimsby Borough score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Dunston UTS score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grimsby Borough | 1.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Dunston UTS | 1.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grimsby Borough vs Dunston UTS?
- The Footlab model makes Dunston UTS the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Grimsby Borough.
- Where and when is Grimsby Borough vs Dunston UTS played?
- Grimsby Borough vs Dunston UTS is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bradley Community Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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