Hallam vs Mossley: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sandygate Road, Sheffield
The Footlab model makes Mossley the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Hallam. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hallam vs Mossley?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Hallam (1,625) and Mossley (1,717).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hallam have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Mossley have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Heaton Stannington(away) | 1-0 | Non League Div One - Northern East |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Dunston UTS(home) | 0-1 | Non League Div One - Northern East |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Silsden(home) | 0-2 | Non League Div One - Northern East |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Lincoln United(away) | 0-1 | Non League Div One - Northern East |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Ashington AFC(home) | 1-0 | Non League Div One - Northern East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bootle(away) | 0-2 | Non League Div One - Northern West |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Vauxhall Motors(home) | 3-2 | Non League Div One - Northern West |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Darlaston Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Div One - Northern West |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Stalybridge Celtic(away) | 0-1 | Non League Div One - Northern West |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Nantwich Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Div One - Northern West |
How many goals should we expect?
Hallam score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mossley score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hallam | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Mossley | 1.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hallam vs Mossley?
- The Footlab model makes Mossley the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Hallam.
- Where and when is Hallam vs Mossley played?
- Hallam vs Mossley is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sandygate Road, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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