Match

Hallam vs Mossley: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sandygate Road, Sheffield

HallamMossley

The Footlab model makes Mossley the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Hallam. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hallam vs Mossley?

A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Hallam (1,625) and Mossley (1,717).

Hallam win35 %
Draw26 %
Mossley win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hallam have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Mossley have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hallam
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Heaton Stannington(away)1-0Non League Div One - Northern East
Apr 18, 2026Dunston UTS(home)0-1Non League Div One - Northern East
Apr 11, 2026Silsden(home)0-2Non League Div One - Northern East
Apr 6, 2026Lincoln United(away)0-1Non League Div One - Northern East
Apr 4, 2026Ashington AFC(home)1-0Non League Div One - Northern East
Mossley
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Bootle(away)0-2Non League Div One - Northern West
Apr 18, 2026Vauxhall Motors(home)3-2Non League Div One - Northern West
Apr 11, 2026Darlaston Town(home)1-0Non League Div One - Northern West
Apr 6, 2026Stalybridge Celtic(away)0-1Non League Div One - Northern West
Apr 4, 2026Nantwich Town(home)1-1Non League Div One - Northern West

How many goals should we expect?

Hallam score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mossley score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hallam0.91.155/154/15
Mossley1.61.258/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hallam vs Mossley?
The Footlab model makes Mossley the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Hallam.
Where and when is Hallam vs Mossley played?
Hallam vs Mossley is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sandygate Road, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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