Hanley Town vs Coleshill Town: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Runcorn Linnets' APEC Taxi's Stadium, Runcorn, Cheshire
The Footlab model makes Coleshill Town the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Hanley Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hanley Town vs Coleshill Town?
Coleshill Town starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,670 vs 1,544).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hanley Town have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Coleshill Town have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2025 | Stourbridge(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Belper United(away) | 5-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Lichfield City(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Mossley(home) | 1-3 | Non League Div One - Northern West |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Chasetown(away) | 0-6 | Non League Div One - Northern West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | Shifnal Town FC(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Corby Town(home) | 2-2 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(away) | 1-4 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Lichfield City(home) | 2-3 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
| Apr 4, 2026 | St Neots Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Div One - Northern Midlands |
How many goals should we expect?
Hanley Town score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Coleshill Town score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanley Town | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Coleshill Town | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hanley Town vs Coleshill Town?
- The Footlab model makes Coleshill Town the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Hanley Town.
- Where and when is Hanley Town vs Coleshill Town played?
- Hanley Town vs Coleshill Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Runcorn Linnets' APEC Taxi's Stadium, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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