Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Tzeirey Tamra: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 3Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium, Tirat Carmel
The Footlab model makes Tzeirey Tamra the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Tzeirey Tamra?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel (1,521) and Tzeirey Tamra (1,588).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Tzeirey Tamra have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(away) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tira(home) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(home) | 2-4 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Tzeirey Tamra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 0-2 Tzeirey Tamra | Liga Alef |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Tzeirey Tamra 1-4 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Tzeirey Tamra on Feb 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tzeirey Tamra score 1.4 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | 0.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Tzeirey Tamra | 1.4 | 2.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel sit 15th in Liga Alef (12 points from 21 matches) and Tzeirey Tamra sit 12th (24 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Tzeirey Tamra | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 32 | 47 | 24 |
| 15 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 42 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Tzeirey Tamra?
- The Footlab model makes Tzeirey Tamra the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel.
- Where and when is Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Tzeirey Tamra played?
- Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Tzeirey Tamra is played on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsIroni Baka El Garbiya
- Sep 19, 2026Ironi NeshervsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Sep 19, 2026Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsBeitar Nahariya
- Sep 19, 2026Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsTira
- Sep 19, 2026Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsHapoel Ironi Karmiel
- Sep 19, 2026Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsHapoel Migdal HaEmek
- Sep 19, 2026Hapoel Beit SheanvsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Sep 19, 2026Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik