Haringey Borough vs Newmarket: prediction and stats
FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Coles Park, London
The Footlab model makes Newmarket the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Haringey Borough. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Haringey Borough vs Newmarket?
Newmarket starts as the favourite with a 182-point Elo edge (1,804 vs 1,622).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Haringey Borough have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Newmarket have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Enfield Town(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Stanway Rovers(home) | 1-5 | FA Cup |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Halstead Town(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Jul 8, 2025 | Hendon(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Brightlingsea Regent(away) | 1-1 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2025 | Witham Town(away) | 2-2 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Virginia United(away) | 2-1 | Brisbane Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Woodford Town(home) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Carina(home) | 5-4 | Brisbane Premier League |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Springfield United(home) | 2-5 | Brisbane Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Haringey Borough score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Newmarket score 2.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haringey Borough | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Newmarket | 2.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Haringey Borough vs Newmarket?
- The Footlab model makes Newmarket the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Haringey Borough.
- Where and when is Haringey Borough vs Newmarket played?
- Haringey Borough vs Newmarket is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Coles Park, in the FA Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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