Where and when is Hartpury University vs Exmouth played?

Hartpury University vs Exmouth is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at 4ED Hartpury Stadium with Vodafone, in the FA Trophy.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hartpury University vs Exmouth: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)4ED Hartpury Stadium with Vodafone, Gloucester, Gloucestershire

Hartpury University

Exmouth

The Footlab model makes Hartpury University the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Exmouth. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hartpury University vs Exmouth?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Hartpury University (1,749) and Exmouth (1,687).

Hartpury University win54 %

Draw24 %

Exmouth win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hartpury University have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Exmouth have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hartpury University
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Bashley(home)	0-0	Non League Div One - Southern South
Apr 18, 2026	Tavistock(away)	2-1	Non League Div One - Southern South
Apr 11, 2026	Melksham Town(home)	0-1	Non League Div One - Southern South
Apr 6, 2026	Bishop's Cleeve(away)	1-3	Non League Div One - Southern South
Apr 3, 2026	Bideford(home)	0-1	Non League Div One - Southern South

Exmouth
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Shaftesbury Town(away)	4-4	Non League Div One - Southern South
Apr 18, 2026	Winchester City(home)	1-2	Non League Div One - Southern South
Apr 11, 2026	Frome Town(home)	1-1	Non League Div One - Southern South
Apr 6, 2026	Bideford(away)	0-1	Non League Div One - Southern South
Apr 3, 2026	Bishop's Cleeve(home)	0-2	Non League Div One - Southern South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Hartpury University win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Exmouth win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 10, 2026	Exmouth 0-1 Hartpury University	Non League Div One - Southern South
Oct 18, 2025	Hartpury University 1-2 Exmouth	Non League Div One - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Exmouth vs Hartpury University on Jan 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hartpury University score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Exmouth score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hartpury University	1.5	1.1	6	6/15	8/15
Exmouth	1.5	1.4	3	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hartpury University vs Exmouth?: The Footlab model makes Hartpury University the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Exmouth.
Where and when is Hartpury University vs Exmouth played?: Hartpury University vs Exmouth is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at 4ED Hartpury Stadium with Vodafone, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.