Where and when is Hastings United vs Hendon played?

Hastings United vs Hendon is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Pilot Field, in the FA Trophy.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hastings United vs Hendon: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Pilot Field, Hastings, Sussex

Hastings United

Hendon

The Footlab model makes Hastings United the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Hendon. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hastings United vs Hendon?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Hastings United (1,617) and Hendon (1,635).

Hastings United win42 %

Draw26 %

Hendon win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hastings United have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Hendon have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hastings United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 1, 2026	Hashtag United(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026	Eastbourne United(away)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Concord Rangers(away)	0-4	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026	Roffey(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026	Jersey Bulls(away)	0-3	Non League Div One - Isthmian South East

Hendon
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Egham Town(home)	2-2	Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central
Apr 18, 2026	Westfield (Surrey)(away)	2-4	Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central
Apr 11, 2026	Leatherhead(home)	1-1	Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central
Apr 6, 2026	Harrow Borough(away)	0-3	Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central
Apr 4, 2026	South Park(home)	0-1	Non League Div One - Isthmian South Central

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Hastings United win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hendon win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 8, 2025	Hastings United 2-0 Hendon	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Nov 23, 2024	Hendon 9-0 Hastings United	Non League Premier - Isthmian

Last archived meeting: Hastings United vs Hendon on Mar 8, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Hastings United score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hendon score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hastings United	1.2	1.5	4	5/15	9/15
Hendon	1.3	1.9	3	8/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hastings United vs Hendon?: The Footlab model makes Hastings United the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Hendon.
Where and when is Hastings United vs Hendon played?: Hastings United vs Hendon is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Pilot Field, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.