Where and when is Herne Bay vs Kingstonian played?

Herne Bay vs Kingstonian is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Winch's Field, in the FA Trophy.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Herne Bay vs Kingstonian: prediction and stats

FA Trophy1st Round QualifyingKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Winch's Field, Herne Bay, Kent

Herne Bay

Kingstonian

The Footlab model makes Herne Bay the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Kingstonian. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Herne Bay vs Kingstonian?

A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Herne Bay (1,624) and Kingstonian (1,650).

Herne Bay win41 %

Draw25 %

Kingstonian win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Herne Bay have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Kingstonian have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Herne Bay
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jul 28, 2026	Dover(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026	AFC Whyteleafe(home)	2-2	Non League Div One - Isthmian South East
Apr 18, 2026	Hastings United(away)	1-1	Non League Div One - Isthmian South East
Apr 11, 2026	Eastbourne Town(home)	1-0	Non League Div One - Isthmian South East
Apr 6, 2026	Margate(away)	1-0	Non League Div One - Isthmian South East

Kingstonian
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 1, 2026	Beaconsfield Town(away)	4-5	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026	South Park(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Barton Rovers(home)	4-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026	Hanworth Villa(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Tooting & Mitcham United(home)	7-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Herne Bay win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Kingstonian win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 22, 2023	Kingstonian 1-1 Herne Bay	Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 27, 2022	Herne Bay 1-1 Kingstonian	Non League Premier - Isthmian

Last archived meeting: Kingstonian vs Herne Bay on Feb 22, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Herne Bay score 1.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Kingstonian score 2.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Herne Bay	1.3	2.2	2	9/15	10/15
Kingstonian	2.0	2.0	3	10/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Herne Bay vs Kingstonian?: The Footlab model makes Herne Bay the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Kingstonian.
Where and when is Herne Bay vs Kingstonian played?: Herne Bay vs Kingstonian is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Winch's Field, in the FA Trophy.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.