Hoffenheim II vs Fortuna Köln: prediction and stats
3. LigaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Dietmar-Hopp-Stadion, Sinsheim
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Hoffenheim II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hoffenheim II vs Fortuna Köln?
Fortuna Köln starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (2,031 vs 1,880).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hoffenheim II have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Fortuna Köln have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf(away) | 2-0 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(home) | 2-3 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC 08 Homburg(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Freiburg II(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(home) | 1-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 0-1 | 3. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Hoffenheim II score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Köln score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim II | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Fortuna Köln | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hoffenheim II sit 9th in 3. Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and Fortuna Köln sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hoffenheim II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 16 | Fortuna Köln | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hoffenheim II vs Fortuna Köln?
- The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Hoffenheim II.
- Where and when is Hoffenheim II vs Fortuna Köln played?
- Hoffenheim II vs Fortuna Köln is played on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Dietmar-Hopp-Stadion, in the 3. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026Fortuna DüsseldorfvsMSV Duisburg
- Sep 12, 2026SV WehenvsWaldhof Mannheim
- Sep 12, 2026FC Viktoria KölnvsHansa Rostock
- Sep 12, 2026Rot-Weiß EssenvsWürzburger Kickers
- Sep 12, 2026FC SaarbrückenvsFC Ingolstadt 04
- Sep 12, 2026Alemannia AachenvsSSV Jahn Regensburg
- Sep 12, 2026VerlvsSV Meppen
- Sep 12, 2026HavelsevsSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach