Where and when is Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union played?

Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union is played on September 20, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Children's Mercy Park, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 29Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City, Kansas

Sporting Kansas City

Philadelphia Union

The Footlab model makes Philadelphia Union the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Sporting Kansas City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union?

Philadelphia Union starts as the favourite with a 179-point Elo edge (1,819 vs 1,640).

Sporting Kansas City win23 %

Draw23 %

Philadelphia Union win54 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Kansas City have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Philadelphia Union have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sporting Kansas City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	St. Louis City(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	Colorado Rapids(away)	0-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 2, 2026	Houston Dynamo(home)	0-2	Major League Soccer
Jul 26, 2026	Los Angeles FC(away)	0-4	Major League Soccer
Jul 23, 2026	Minnesota United FC(home)	2-1	Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Inter Miami(home)	2-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	New York City FC(away)	3-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026	Santos Laguna(home)	0-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026	Necaxa(home)	3-1	Leagues Cup
Aug 7, 2026	Cruz Azul(away)	0-1	Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sporting Kansas City win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Philadelphia Union win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 3, 2024	Sporting Kansas City 1-1 Philadelphia Union	Major League Soccer
Apr 1, 2023	Philadelphia Union 0-0 Sporting Kansas City	Major League Soccer
Jul 31, 2020	Philadelphia Union 3-1 Sporting Kansas City	Major League Soccer
Mar 10, 2019	Sporting Kansas City 2-0 Philadelphia Union	Major League Soccer
Sep 23, 2018	Philadelphia Union 2-0 Sporting Kansas City	Major League Soccer
Jul 7, 2017	Sporting Kansas City 1-1 Philadelphia Union	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union on Mar 3, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Sporting Kansas City score 0.9 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Philadelphia Union score 1.8 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Sporting Kansas City	0.9	2.5	0	8/15	11/15
Philadelphia Union	1.8	1.9	2	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sporting Kansas City sit 15th in Major League Soccer (15 points from 20 matches) and Philadelphia Union sit 13th (20 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Philadelphia Union	20	5	5	10	30	37	20
15	Sporting Kansas City	20	4	3	13	19	49	15

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union?: The Footlab model makes Philadelphia Union the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Sporting Kansas City.
Where and when is Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union played?: Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union is played on September 20, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Children's Mercy Park, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.