Internacional Palmira vs Leones FC: prediction and stats
Primera BClausura - 11Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Internacional Palmira the favourite at 63%, against 25% for a draw and 12% for Leones FC. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Internacional Palmira vs Leones FC?
Internacional Palmira starts as the favourite with a 172-point Elo edge (1,602 vs 1,430).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Internacional Palmira have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Leones FC have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Barranquilla(home) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Quindio(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Bogota FC(home) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Internacional de Bogota(home) | 1-2 | Copa Colombia |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Patriotas(away) | 1-3 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Real Cartagena(home) | 1-6 | Primera B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Real Soacha(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Bogota FC(away) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Quindio(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Tigres FC(away) | 1-0 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Internacional Palmira win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Leones FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Leones FC 1-2 Internacional Palmira | Primera B |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Internacional Palmira 1-0 Leones FC | Primera B |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Leones FC 1-2 Internacional Palmira | Primera B |
| Oct 2, 2024 | Leones FC 2-0 Internacional Palmira | Primera B |
| Feb 21, 2024 | Internacional Palmira 2-2 Leones FC | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Leones FC vs Internacional Palmira on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Internacional Palmira score 0.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Leones FC score 0.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional Palmira | 0.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Leones FC | 0.8 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Internacional Palmira sit 1st in Primera B (38 points from 15 matches) and Leones FC sit 14th (10 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internacional Palmira | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 13 | 38 |
| 1 | Internacional Palmira | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 13 | 38 |
| 2 | Leones FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Internacional Palmira | 25 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 35 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Internacional Palmira | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Leones FC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 8 |
| 11 | Internacional Palmira | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | Internacional Palmira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 13 | Leones FC | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 32 | 18 |
| 14 | Leones FC | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
| 14 | Leones FC | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Internacional Palmira vs Leones FC?
- The Footlab model makes Internacional Palmira the favourite at 63%, against 25% for a draw and 12% for Leones FC.
- Where and when is Internacional Palmira vs Leones FC played?
- Internacional Palmira vs Leones FC is played on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.