Tigres FC vs Real Santander: prediction and stats
Primera BClausura - 11Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá, D.C.
The Footlab model makes Tigres FC the favourite at 59%, against 26% for a draw and 15% for Real Santander. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tigres FC vs Real Santander?
Tigres FC starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,487 vs 1,349).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tigres FC have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Real Santander have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Union Magdalena(home) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Envigado(home) | 2-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Popayan(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Atletico Nacional(home) | 0-2 | Copa Colombia |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Leones FC(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Ind. Yumbo(home) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Barranquilla(home) | 2-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Depor FC(away) | 2-2 | Primera B |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Patriotas(home) | 2-2 | Primera B |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Real Cartagena(away) | 1-5 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Tigres FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Real Santander win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Real Santander 1-1 Tigres FC | Primera B |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Tigres FC 2-0 Real Santander | Primera B |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Real Santander 1-0 Tigres FC | Primera B |
| Aug 4, 2024 | Tigres FC 1-0 Real Santander | Primera B |
| Feb 15, 2024 | Real Santander 0-3 Tigres FC | Primera B |
| Sep 20, 2023 | Real Santander 1-2 Tigres FC | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Real Santander vs Tigres FC on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tigres FC score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Real Santander score 0.8 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigres FC | 0.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Real Santander | 0.8 | 2.3 | 1 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tigres FC sit 8th in Primera B (20 points from 15 matches) and Real Santander sit 16th (7 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Tigres FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 6 | Tigres FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Tigres FC | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 24 | 31 |
| 8 | Tigres FC | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 20 |
| 8 | Tigres FC | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 20 |
| 8 | Real Santander | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 6 |
| 13 | Real Santander | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 2 |
| 15 | Tigres FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Real Santander | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 34 | 13 |
| 16 | Real Santander | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 23 | 7 |
| 16 | Real Santander | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 23 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tigres FC vs Real Santander?
- The Footlab model makes Tigres FC the favourite at 59%, against 26% for a draw and 15% for Real Santander.
- Where and when is Tigres FC vs Real Santander played?
- Tigres FC vs Real Santander is played on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.