Chapecoense-sc vs Cruzeiro: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 36Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Arena Condá, Chapecó, Santa Catarina
The Footlab AI model makes Cruzeiro the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Chapecoense-sc. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cruzeiro wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,849 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chapecoense-sc vs Cruzeiro?
Cruzeiro starts as the favourite with a 216-point Elo edge (1,919 vs 1,704).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chapecoense-sc vs Cruzeiro
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chapecoense-sc
4-2-3-1- 9Túlio
- 88Yago Felipe
- 31Garcez
- 10Giovanni Augusto
- 27Camilo
- 7Marcinho
- 21Kauan Faria Gomes
- 91Bruno Pacheco
- 3Doma
- 20Bruno Tubarão
- 98Anderson
Cruzeiro
4-2-3-1- 19Kaio Jorge
- 10Matheus Pereira
- 8Gerson
- 99K. Arroyo
- 5Zé Lucas
- 29L. Romero
- 43João Marcelo
- 34Jonathan
- 12William
- 27G. Rojas
- 81Otávio Eleodoro Rezende Costa
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 11:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chapecoense-sc have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Cruzeiro have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Botafogo(away) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 1-4 | Serie A |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Vitoria(away) | 0-4 | Serie A |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Atletico Nacional(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Atletico-MG(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Gremio(away) | 4-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 13, 2026 | RB Bragantino(away) | 2-4 | Serie A |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Sao Paulo(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Vitoria(away) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Santos(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Chapecoense-sc wins, 2 draws, 4 Cruzeiro wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Cruzeiro 2-0 Chapecoense-sc | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chapecoense-sc 0-0 Cruzeiro | Copa Do Brasil |
| May 24, 2026 | Cruzeiro 2-1 Chapecoense-sc | Serie A |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Cruzeiro 1-1 Chapecoense-sc | Serie B |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Chapecoense-sc 0-2 Cruzeiro | Serie B |
| Nov 25, 2020 | Chapecoense-sc 0-1 Cruzeiro | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-sc on Aug 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chapecoense-sc score 0.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Cruzeiro score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapecoense-sc | 0.9 | 2.0 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Cruzeiro | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chapecoense-sc sit 20th in Serie A (18 points from 30 matches) and Cruzeiro sit 4th (51 points from 31 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cruzeiro | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 46 | 51 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 30 | 62 | 18 |
A question about Chapecoense-sc vs Cruzeiro?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chapecoense-sc vs Cruzeiro?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cruzeiro the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Chapecoense-sc.
- Where and when is Chapecoense-sc vs Cruzeiro played?
- Chapecoense-sc vs Cruzeiro is played on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Condá, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.