Wisla Plock vs Jagiellonia: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Orlen Stadion, Płock
The Footlab AI model makes Wisla Plock the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Jagiellonia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Wisla Plock wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,521 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wisla Plock vs Jagiellonia?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Wisla Plock (1,888) and Jagiellonia (1,982).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Wisla Plock vs Jagiellonia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Wisla Plock
3-4-3- 20Ł. Sekulski
- 57S. Akere
- 23P. Kun
- 21Ž. Rogelj
- 18J. Pršir
- 19D. Gallapeni
- 16F. Hiszpański
- 35M. Kamiński
- 4M. Haglind-Sangré
- 34Afonso Silva
- 12R. Leszczyński
Jagiellonia
4-3-3- 30O. Sow
- 7K. Szmyt
- 99N. Prelec
- 11Jesús Imaz
- 21Sergio Lozano
- 85Eryk Kozlowski
- 27Rodrigo Conceição
- 3D. Stojinović
- 5Bernardo Vital
- 20B. Wdowik
- 50S. Abramowicz
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 09:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wisla Plock have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Jagiellonia have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(home) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Puszcza Niepołomice(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Jagiellonia(away) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(home) | 1-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Wieczysta Kraków(away) | 0-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Wieczysta Kraków(away) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Lechia Gdansk(away) | 6-0 | Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Wisla Plock(home) | 1-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Anderlecht(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin(away) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Wisla Plock wins, 1 draw, 3 Jagiellonia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Jagiellonia 1-0 Wisla Plock | Ekstraklasa |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Jagiellonia 1-2 Wisla Plock | Ekstraklasa |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Wisla Plock 0-1 Jagiellonia | Ekstraklasa |
| Apr 21, 2023 | Wisla Plock 2-4 Jagiellonia | Ekstraklasa |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Wisla Plock 3-1 Jagiellonia | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 7, 2022 | Jagiellonia 1-1 Wisla Plock | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock on Oct 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wisla Plock score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Jagiellonia score 2.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisla Plock | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Jagiellonia | 2.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wisla Plock sit 12th in Ekstraklasa (15 points from 12 matches) and Jagiellonia sit 9th (18 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jagiellonia | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 18 |
| 12 | Wisla Plock | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 15 |
A question about Wisla Plock vs Jagiellonia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wisla Plock vs Jagiellonia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Wisla Plock the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Jagiellonia.
- Where and when is Wisla Plock vs Jagiellonia played?
- Wisla Plock vs Jagiellonia is played on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Orlen Stadion, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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