Where and when is Wisla Plock vs Jagiellonia played?

Wisla Plock vs Jagiellonia is played on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Orlen Stadion, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Wisla Plock vs Jagiellonia: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Orlen Stadion, Płock

Wisla Plock

Jagiellonia

The Footlab model makes Wisla Plock the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Jagiellonia. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wisla Plock vs Jagiellonia?

Jagiellonia starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (2,057 vs 1,927).

Wisla Plock win42 %

Draw26 %

Jagiellonia win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wisla Plock have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Jagiellonia have 11, 3 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wisla Plock
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	GKS Katowice(away)	0-5	Ekstraklasa
Aug 7, 2026	Wisla Krakow(away)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026	Widzew Łódź(home)	0-0	Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026	Raków Częstochowa(away)	2-1	Ekstraklasa
Jul 22, 2026	Pelikan Łowicz(home)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs

Jagiellonia
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Saburtalo(home)	4-0	UEFA Europa League
Aug 13, 2026	Rangers(away)	1-1	UEFA Europa League
Aug 9, 2026	Widzew Łódź(home)	0-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 6, 2026	Rangers(home)	2-1	UEFA Europa League
Jul 31, 2026	Motor Lublin(away)	2-1	Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Wisla Plock win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Jagiellonia win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 21, 2026	Jagiellonia 1-2 Wisla Plock	Ekstraklasa
Sep 19, 2025	Wisla Plock 0-1 Jagiellonia	Ekstraklasa
Apr 21, 2023	Wisla Plock 2-4 Jagiellonia	Ekstraklasa
Jan 14, 2023	Wisla Plock 3-1 Jagiellonia	Friendlies Clubs
Oct 7, 2022	Jagiellonia 1-1 Wisla Plock	Ekstraklasa
Mar 13, 2022	Jagiellonia 0-1 Wisla Plock	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Wisla Plock score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Jagiellonia score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Wisla Plock	1.3	1.6	4	6/15	11/15
Jagiellonia	1.7	0.7	7	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wisla Plock sit 15th in Ekstraklasa (4 points from 4 matches) and Jagiellonia sit 10th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	3	3	6
15	Wisla Plock	4	1	1	2	3	8	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wisla Plock vs Jagiellonia?: The Footlab model makes Wisla Plock the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Jagiellonia.
Where and when is Wisla Plock vs Jagiellonia played?: Wisla Plock vs Jagiellonia is played on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Orlen Stadion, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.