Where and when is JEF United Chiba vs Gamba Osaka played?

JEF United Chiba vs Gamba Osaka is played on September 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Fukuda Denshi Arena, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

JEF United Chiba vs Gamba Osaka: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Fukuda Denshi Arena, Chiba

JEF United Chiba

Gamba Osaka

The Footlab model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for JEF United Chiba. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win JEF United Chiba vs Gamba Osaka?

Gamba Osaka starts as the favourite with a 209-point Elo edge (2,022 vs 1,813).

JEF United Chiba win23 %

Draw23 %

Gamba Osaka win54 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, JEF United Chiba have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Gamba Osaka have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

JEF United Chiba
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	FC Tokyo(away)	0-2	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Machida Zelvia(home)	0-4	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away)	0-3	J1 League
Aug 1, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026	Avispa Fukuoka(home)	1-2	J1 League

Gamba Osaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Nagoya Grampus(away)	1-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(away)	1-1	J1 League
Aug 11, 2026	Gangwon FC(away)	1-0	AFC Champions League Elite
Aug 7, 2026	Urawa(home)	4-3	J1 League
Jul 15, 2026	Red Bull Salzburg(away)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 JEF United Chiba win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Gamba Osaka win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 12, 2017	Gamba Osaka 2-0 JEF United Chiba	Emperor Cup
Jul 7, 2013	JEF United Chiba 3-0 Gamba Osaka	J2 League
Mar 24, 2013	Gamba Osaka 1-1 JEF United Chiba	J2 League

Last archived meeting: Gamba Osaka vs JEF United Chiba on Jul 12, 2017

How many goals should we expect?

JEF United Chiba score 0.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Gamba Osaka score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
JEF United Chiba	0.8	2.0	2	6/15	8/15
Gamba Osaka	1.7	1.3	4	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

JEF United Chiba sit 20th in J1 League (0 points from 3 matches) and Gamba Osaka sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Gamba Osaka	3	1	1	1	6	7	4
20	JEF United Chiba	3	0	0	3	0	9	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for JEF United Chiba vs Gamba Osaka?: The Footlab model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for JEF United Chiba.
Where and when is JEF United Chiba vs Gamba Osaka played?: JEF United Chiba vs Gamba Osaka is played on September 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Fukuda Denshi Arena, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.