Match

Kashima vs Urawa: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Kashima Soccer Stadium, Kashima

KashimaUrawa

The Footlab model makes Kashima the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Urawa. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kashima vs Urawa?

Kashima starts as the favourite with a 227-point Elo edge (2,158 vs 1,930).

Kashima win62 %
Draw21 %
Urawa win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kashima have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Urawa have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kashima
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(home)3-2J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Nagoya Grampus(home)2-1J1 League
Aug 7, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)4-3J1 League
Jul 15, 2026Vegalta Sendai(home)5-0Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026Vissel Kobe(home)2-0J1 League
Urawa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Machida Zelvia(away)1-3J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home)1-4J1 League
Aug 7, 2026Gamba Osaka(away)3-4J1 League
Aug 1, 2026Omiya Ardija(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 17, 2026FC Ryukyu(away)4-5Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kashima win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Urawa win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Kashima 1-0 UrawaJ1 League
Feb 28, 2026Urawa 2-3 KashimaJ1 League
Sep 20, 2025Urawa 0-1 KashimaJ1 League
Mar 16, 2025Kashima 1-1 UrawaJ1 League
Aug 17, 2024Kashima 0-0 UrawaJ1 League
Jun 22, 2024Urawa 2-2 KashimaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Kashima vs Urawa on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kashima score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Urawa score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kashima1.91.086/157/15
Urawa1.51.848/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kashima sit 3rd in J1 League (9 points from 3 matches) and Urawa sit 19th (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Kashima3300969
19Urawa30035110

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kashima vs Urawa?
The Footlab model makes Kashima the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Urawa.
Where and when is Kashima vs Urawa played?
Kashima vs Urawa is played on September 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Kashima Soccer Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Kashima and Urawa

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