Where and when is Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock played?

Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock is played on September 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Best Denki Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Best Denki Stadium, Fukuoka

Avispa Fukuoka

Mito Hollyhock

The Footlab model makes Avispa Fukuoka the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Mito Hollyhock. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock?

A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Avispa Fukuoka (1,926) and Mito Hollyhock (1,832).

Avispa Fukuoka win50 %

Draw26 %

Mito Hollyhock win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avispa Fukuoka have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Mito Hollyhock have 2, 5 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Avispa Fukuoka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Kashima(away)	2-3	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Cerezo Osaka(home)	3-0	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Vissel Kobe(home)	0-1	J1 League
Jul 19, 2026	Osaka(home)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026	JEF United Chiba(away)	2-1	J1 League

Mito Hollyhock
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Kyoto Sanga(away)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Gamba Osaka(home)	1-1	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(away)	1-2	J1 League
Jun 6, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(home)	0-1	J1 League
May 30, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(away)	0-1	J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Avispa Fukuoka win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Mito Hollyhock win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 4, 2020	Mito Hollyhock 0-1 Avispa Fukuoka	J2 League
Aug 19, 2020	Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Mito Hollyhock	J2 League
Jul 27, 2019	Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Mito Hollyhock	J2 League
Jun 9, 2019	Mito Hollyhock 4-2 Avispa Fukuoka	J2 League
Aug 11, 2018	Avispa Fukuoka 2-0 Mito Hollyhock	J2 League
May 27, 2018	Mito Hollyhock 0-2 Avispa Fukuoka	J2 League

Last archived meeting: Mito Hollyhock vs Avispa Fukuoka on Nov 4, 2020

How many goals should we expect?

Avispa Fukuoka score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mito Hollyhock score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Avispa Fukuoka	1.5	1.3	2	10/15	8/15
Mito Hollyhock	1.1	1.8	1	10/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Avispa Fukuoka sit 12th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Mito Hollyhock sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Mito Hollyhock	3	1	1	1	5	4	4
12	Avispa Fukuoka	3	1	0	2	5	4	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock?: The Footlab model makes Avispa Fukuoka the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Mito Hollyhock.
Where and when is Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock played?: Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock is played on September 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Best Denki Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.