Where and when is Vissel Kobe vs V-varen Nagasaki played?

Vissel Kobe vs V-varen Nagasaki is played on September 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at NOEVIR Stadium Kobe, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Vissel Kobe vs V-varen Nagasaki: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)NOEVIR Stadium Kobe, Kobe

Vissel Kobe

V-varen Nagasaki

The Footlab model makes Vissel Kobe the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for V-varen Nagasaki. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Vissel Kobe vs V-varen Nagasaki?

Vissel Kobe starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (2,042 vs 1,908).

Vissel Kobe win57 %

Draw24 %

V-varen Nagasaki win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vissel Kobe have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; V-varen Nagasaki have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Vissel Kobe
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Yokohama F. Marinos(away)	0-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	FC Tokyo(home)	2-2	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Avispa Fukuoka(away)	1-0	J1 League
Jul 22, 2026	Imabari(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Consadole Sapporo(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

V-varen Nagasaki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol(away)	2-4	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(away)	0-1	J1 League
Aug 9, 2026	Kyoto Sanga(home)	2-1	J1 League
Jul 17, 2026	Utrecht(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(away)	1-0	J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Vissel Kobe win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 V-varen Nagasaki win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 17, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki 2-2 Vissel Kobe	J1 League
Feb 13, 2026	Vissel Kobe 2-0 V-varen Nagasaki	J1 League
Oct 6, 2018	Vissel Kobe 1-1 V-varen Nagasaki	J1 League
Jul 18, 2018	V-varen Nagasaki 0-1 Vissel Kobe	J1 League
Apr 18, 2018	V-varen Nagasaki 1-2 Vissel Kobe	J-League Cup
Mar 7, 2018	Vissel Kobe 2-2 V-varen Nagasaki	J-League Cup

Last archived meeting: V-varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe on May 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Vissel Kobe score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; V-varen Nagasaki score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Vissel Kobe	1.1	1.3	5	6/15	7/15
V-varen Nagasaki	1.2	1.5	2	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Vissel Kobe sit 8th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and V-varen Nagasaki sit 16th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Vissel Kobe	3	1	1	1	3	3	4
16	V-varen Nagasaki	3	1	0	2	4	6	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Vissel Kobe vs V-varen Nagasaki?: The Footlab model makes Vissel Kobe the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for V-varen Nagasaki.
Where and when is Vissel Kobe vs V-varen Nagasaki played?: Vissel Kobe vs V-varen Nagasaki is played on September 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at NOEVIR Stadium Kobe, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.