Match

Kawasaki Frontale vs Shimizu S-pulse: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu, Kawasaki

Kawasaki FrontaleShimizu S-pulse

The Footlab model makes Kawasaki Frontale the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Shimizu S-pulse. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kawasaki Frontale vs Shimizu S-pulse?

A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Kawasaki Frontale (1,959) and Shimizu S-pulse (1,899).

Kawasaki Frontale win45 %
Draw26 %
Shimizu S-pulse win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kawasaki Frontale have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Shimizu S-pulse have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kawasaki Frontale
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away)1-1J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Kyoto Sanga(home)2-2J1 League
Aug 9, 2026Tokyo Verdy(away)1-1J1 League
Jul 16, 2026Vanraure Hachinohe(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home)0-1J1 League
Shimizu S-pulse
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Cerezo Osaka(away)0-1J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(home)0-1J1 League
Aug 8, 2026Nagoya Grampus(away)1-0J1 League
Jul 18, 2026Karlsruher SC(away)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)0-3J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Kawasaki Frontale win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Shimizu S-pulse win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2025Kawasaki Frontale 5-3 Shimizu S-pulseJ1 League
Apr 12, 2025Shimizu S-pulse 1-1 Kawasaki FrontaleJ1 League
Apr 19, 2023Kawasaki Frontale 6-0 Shimizu S-pulseJ-League Cup
Mar 8, 2023Shimizu S-pulse 3-2 Kawasaki FrontaleJ-League Cup
Oct 8, 2022Kawasaki Frontale 3-2 Shimizu S-pulseJ1 League
May 7, 2022Shimizu S-pulse 0-2 Kawasaki FrontaleJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Kawasaki Frontale vs Shimizu S-pulse on Oct 18, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Kawasaki Frontale score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Shimizu S-pulse score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Kawasaki Frontale0.91.228/155/15
Shimizu S-pulse1.01.328/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kawasaki Frontale sit 14th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Shimizu S-pulse sit 15th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Kawasaki Frontale3030443
15Shimizu S-pulse3102123

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kawasaki Frontale vs Shimizu S-pulse?
The Footlab model makes Kawasaki Frontale the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Shimizu S-pulse.
Where and when is Kawasaki Frontale vs Shimizu S-pulse played?
Kawasaki Frontale vs Shimizu S-pulse is played on September 6, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Kawasaki Frontale and Shimizu S-pulse

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