Where and when is Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos played?

Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos is played on September 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, in the J1 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa

Kashiwa Reysol

Yokohama F. Marinos

The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Yokohama F. Marinos. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Kashiwa Reysol (2,026) and Yokohama F. Marinos (1,976).

Kashiwa Reysol win43 %

Draw27 %

Yokohama F. Marinos win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kashiwa Reysol have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Yokohama F. Marinos have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kashiwa Reysol
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Senshu University(home)	2-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 21, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki(home)	4-2	J1 League
Aug 14, 2026	Tokyo Verdy(away)	3-1	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Mito Hollyhock(home)	2-1	J1 League
Aug 1, 2026	JEF United Chiba(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs

Yokohama F. Marinos
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 26, 2026	Fukushima United(home)	1-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026	Vissel Kobe(home)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Shimizu S-pulse(away)	1-0	J1 League
Aug 7, 2026	Kashima(home)	3-4	J1 League
Jul 19, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Kashiwa Reysol win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Yokohama F. Marinos win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 16, 2026	Yokohama F. Marinos 0-1 Kashiwa Reysol	J1 League
Apr 5, 2026	Kashiwa Reysol 3-0 Yokohama F. Marinos	J1 League
Oct 4, 2025	Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos	J1 League
Sep 7, 2025	Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 Yokohama F. Marinos	J-League Cup
Sep 3, 2025	Yokohama F. Marinos 1-4 Kashiwa Reysol	J-League Cup
May 14, 2025	Yokohama F. Marinos 0-2 Kashiwa Reysol	J1 League

Last archived meeting: Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol on May 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kashiwa Reysol score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Yokohama F. Marinos score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kashiwa Reysol	1.6	1.2	3	7/15	7/15
Yokohama F. Marinos	1.9	1.1	5	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kashiwa Reysol sit 2nd in J1 League (9 points from 3 matches) and Yokohama F. Marinos sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Kashiwa Reysol	3	3	0	0	9	4	9
5	Yokohama F. Marinos	3	2	0	1	5	4	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos?: The Footlab model makes Kashiwa Reysol the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Yokohama F. Marinos.
Where and when is Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos played?: Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos is played on September 5, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.