Jong Utrecht vs Jong AZ: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 33Kick-off on April 12, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, Utrecht
The Footlab model makes Jong AZ the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Jong Utrecht. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jong Utrecht vs Jong AZ?
Jong AZ starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,685 vs 1,558).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jong Utrecht have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Jong AZ have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Heracles(home) | 1-6 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Vitesse(home) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | MVV(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund II(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Werder Bremen II(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Emmen(away) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 17, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 5-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 10, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ijsselmeervogels(away) | 7-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Quick Boys(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Jong Utrecht win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Jong AZ win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | Jong AZ 1-4 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Jong Utrecht 0-0 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Jong AZ 5-1 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Jong Utrecht 0-1 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 12, 2024 | Jong Utrecht 1-2 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2023 | Jong AZ 1-0 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Jong AZ vs Jong Utrecht on Dec 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Jong Utrecht score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Jong AZ score 2.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong Utrecht | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Jong AZ | 2.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jong Utrecht sit 20th in Eerste Divisie (0 points from 3 matches) and Jong AZ sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Jong AZ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 13 | Jong AZ | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jong Utrecht vs Jong AZ?
- The Footlab model makes Jong AZ the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Jong Utrecht.
- Where and when is Jong Utrecht vs Jong AZ played?
- Jong Utrecht vs Jong AZ is played on April 12, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.