Juventud vs Deportivo Maldonado: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Parque Artigas, Las Piedras
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Maldonado the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Juventud. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Juventud vs Deportivo Maldonado?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Juventud (1,732) and Deportivo Maldonado (1,807).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Juventud have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Deportivo Maldonado have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Central Espanol(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atletico Torque(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cerro Largo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Deportivo Maldonado(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 17, 2026 | Albion FC(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Penarol(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Progreso(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Juventud(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Progreso(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Juventud win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Deportivo Maldonado win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Deportivo Maldonado 0-0 Juventud | Primera División |
| Mar 2, 2026 | Deportivo Maldonado 2-1 Juventud | Primera División |
| Jul 28, 2018 | Deportivo Maldonado 0-1 Juventud | Segunda División |
| Mar 3, 2018 | Juventud 2-0 Deportivo Maldonado | Segunda División |
| Feb 25, 2012 | Juventud 0-0 Deportivo Maldonado | Segunda División |
| Oct 1, 2011 | Deportivo Maldonado 1-3 Juventud | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Maldonado vs Juventud on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Juventud score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Maldonado score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventud | 1.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Deportivo Maldonado | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Juventud sit 14th in Primera División (15 points from 15 matches) and Deportivo Maldonado sit 2nd (29 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 29 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 40 | 24 | 46 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 40 | 24 | 46 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 6 | Deportivo Maldonado | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
| 8 | Juventud | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Juventud | 62 | 25 | 13 | 24 | 72 | 74 | 88 |
| 13 | Juventud | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 35 | 27 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Juventud vs Deportivo Maldonado?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Maldonado the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Juventud.
- Where and when is Juventud vs Deportivo Maldonado played?
- Juventud vs Deportivo Maldonado is played on August 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Parque Artigas, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.