Defensor Sporting vs Atletico Torque: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo
The Footlab model makes Atletico Torque the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Defensor Sporting. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Defensor Sporting vs Atletico Torque?
Atletico Torque starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,841 vs 1,729).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Defensor Sporting have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Atletico Torque have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cerro Largo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 0-4 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Wanderers(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Cerro(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wanderers(home) | 5-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Tigre(home) | 2-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Juventud(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Tigre(away) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Wanderers(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Defensor Sporting win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Atletico Torque win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | Atletico Torque 1-0 Defensor Sporting | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Feb 26, 2026 | Atletico Torque 1-0 Defensor Sporting | Primera División |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Defensor Sporting 0-1 Atletico Torque | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Atletico Torque 0-1 Defensor Sporting | Primera División |
| May 22, 2024 | Atletico Torque 2-2 Defensor Sporting | Copa Uruguay |
| Oct 13, 2023 | Defensor Sporting 2-0 Atletico Torque | Primera División - Clausura |
Last archived meeting: Atletico Torque vs Defensor Sporting on Mar 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Defensor Sporting score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Torque score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensor Sporting | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Atletico Torque | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Defensor Sporting sit 8th in Primera División (21 points from 15 matches) and Atletico Torque sit 6th (23 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Atletico Torque | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Atletico Torque | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 28 | 41 |
| 4 | Atletico Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 23 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 61 | 25 | 15 | 21 | 93 | 79 | 90 |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 62 | 24 | 17 | 21 | 62 | 64 | 89 |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 21 |
| 12 | Defensor Sporting | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 20 | 26 | 28 |
| 13 | Defensor Sporting | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Defensor Sporting vs Atletico Torque?
- The Footlab model makes Atletico Torque the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Defensor Sporting.
- Where and when is Defensor Sporting vs Atletico Torque played?
- Defensor Sporting vs Atletico Torque is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Luis Franzini, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.